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Botafogo 1 x 1 Bragantino: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 27

Botafogo

Botafogo

Home

1 × 1

Bragantino

Bragantino

Away

Estádio Nilton Santos

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo win36.7%
Draw40.2%
Bragantino win23.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals30.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Botafogo and Bragantino drew 1 to 1, Saturday, September 12, at Estádio Nilton Santos and in the Série A 2026.

Botafogo had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 15 to 14, and corners were 5 to 4.

Botafogo arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Bragantino arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

In the 5 recorded previous meetings, there were 4 wins for Botafogo, 0 for Bragantino and 1 draw.

Botafogo vs Bragantino stats

Match statistics
62%Possession38%
6On target8
15Shots14
5Corners4
11Fouls9
4Offsides1
8Saves5
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

BotafogoDLLLD

Botafogo's last matches
09/06Botafogo 0x0 Palmeiras
08/30Flamengo 3x0 Botafogo
08/24Botafogo 2x3 Athletico PR
08/16Vitória 1x0 Botafogo
08/08Botafogo 1x1 Fluminense

BragantinoLLWDL

Bragantino's last matches
09/05Bragantino 2x3 Bahia
08/29São Paulo 2x1 Bragantino
08/23Bragantino 1x0 Grêmio
08/15Athletico PR 1x1 Bragantino
08/09Bragantino 0x2 Corinthians

Head-to-head

Last matches between Botafogo and Bragantino
03/21/2026Bragantino 1x2 Botafogo
08/06/2025Bragantino 0x1 Botafogo
07/29/2025Botafogo 2x0 Bragantino
03/13/2024Bragantino 1x1 Botafogo
03/06/2024Botafogo 2x1 Bragantino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 27

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo vs Bragantino

What was the score of Botafogo vs Bragantino?
Botafogo 1 x 1 Bragantino, Saturday, September 12, at Estádio Nilton Santos, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Bragantino?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo vs Bragantino?
Botafogo had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 15 to 14, and corners were 5 to 4.
How did Botafogo and Bragantino arrive for this match?
Botafogo arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Bragantino arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 5 recorded previous meetings, there were 4 wins for Botafogo, 0 for Bragantino and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.