Vitória 4 x 0 Chapecoense: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 29

Vitória

Vitória

Home

4 × 0

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

Away

Estádio Manoel Barradas

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vitória win53.9%
Draw28.7%
Chapecoense win17.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals34.4%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vitória beat Chapecoense 4 to 0 at home, Wednesday, October 7, at Estádio Manoel Barradas and in the Série A 2026.

Vitória had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 16 to 7, and corners were 3 to 6.

Vitória arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Chapecoense 1 x 1 Vitória.

Vitória vs Chapecoense stats

Match statistics
51%Possession49%
8On target4
16Shots7
3Corners6
8Fouls17
4Saves4
2Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Vitória win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

VitóriaLDWLL

Vitória's last matches
09/20Vitória 1x3 Cruzeiro
09/13Mirassol 2x2 Vitória
09/07Vitória 1x0 Grêmio
09/02Vitória 0x2 Vasco da Gama
08/29Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Vitória

ChapecoenseDLWLW

Chapecoense's last matches
09/19Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Chapecoense
09/12Chapecoense 1x2 Internacional
09/06Corinthians 1x2 Chapecoense
08/30Grêmio 3x1 Chapecoense
08/23Chapecoense 1x0 São Paulo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vitória and Chapecoense
04/05/2026Chapecoense 1x1 Vitória

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 29

Frequently asked questions about Vitória vs Chapecoense

What was the score of Vitória vs Chapecoense?
Vitória 4 x 0 Chapecoense, Wednesday, October 7, at Estádio Manoel Barradas, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Vitória vs Chapecoense?
The model pointed to a Vitória win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Vitória vs Chapecoense?
Vitória had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 16 to 7, and corners were 3 to 6.
How did Vitória and Chapecoense arrive for this match?
Vitória arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Chapecoense 1 x 1 Vitória.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.