What was the score of Athletico PR vs Atlético Mineiro?

Athletico PR 2 x 2 Atlético Mineiro, Thursday, October 8, at Arena de Baixada, in the Série A 2026.

Athletico PR 2 x 2 Atlético Mineiro: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 29

Athletico PR

Home

2 × 2

Atlético Mineiro

Away

Thursday, October 8 · 08:00 PMArena de Baixada

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Athletico PR win49.3%

Draw30.3%

Atlético Mineiro win20.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals30.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Athletico PR and Atlético Mineiro drew 2 to 2, Thursday, October 8, at Arena de Baixada and in the Série A 2026.

Athletico PR had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 23 to 14, and corners were 10 to 3.

Athletico PR arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Atlético Mineiro arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Atlético Mineiro 2 x 1 Athletico PR.

Match statistics

51%Possession49%

10On target9

23Shots14

10Corners3

13Fouls11

0Offsides1

7Saves8

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Athletico PR win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Athletico PRWDLDW

Athletico PR's last matches
09/20	Athletico PR 2x1 Bahia
09/11	Coritiba 3x3 Athletico PR
09/06	Cruzeiro 3x1 Athletico PR
08/30	Athletico PR 3x3 Fluminense
08/24	Botafogo 2x3 Athletico PR

Atlético MineiroWDWLW

Atlético Mineiro's last matches
10/03	Atlético Mineiro 1x0 Bragantino
09/19	Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Chapecoense
09/12	Atlético Mineiro 3x1 Fluminense
09/05	São Paulo 2x0 Atlético Mineiro
09/01	Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Cruzeiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Athletico PR and Atlético Mineiro
04/05/2026	Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Athletico PR

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 29

Frequently asked questions about Athletico PR vs Atlético Mineiro

What was the score of Athletico PR vs Atlético Mineiro?: Athletico PR 2 x 2 Atlético Mineiro, Thursday, October 8, at Arena de Baixada, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Athletico PR vs Atlético Mineiro?: The model pointed to a Athletico PR win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Athletico PR vs Atlético Mineiro?: Athletico PR had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 23 to 14, and corners were 10 to 3.
How did Athletico PR and Atlético Mineiro arrive for this match?: Athletico PR arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Atlético Mineiro arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Atlético Mineiro 2 x 1 Athletico PR.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.