What was the score of Palmeiras vs Bahia?

Palmeiras 1 x 0 Bahia, Thursday, October 8, at Allianz Parque, in the Série A 2026.

Palmeiras 1 x 0 Bahia: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 29

Palmeiras

Home

1 × 0

Bahia

Away

Thursday, October 8 · 09:30 PMAllianz Parque

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Palmeiras win56.1%

Draw29.5%

Bahia win14.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals30.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Palmeiras beat Bahia 1 to 0 at home, Thursday, October 8, at Allianz Parque and in the Série A 2026.

Bahia had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 22 to 6, and corners were 7 to 3.

Palmeiras arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Bahia arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Bahia 1 x 2 Palmeiras.

Match statistics

41%Possession59%

11On target1

22Shots6

7Corners3

9Fouls12

1Offsides1

1Saves10

1Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

PalmeirasDLWWD

Palmeiras's last matches
09/20	Grêmio 0x0 Palmeiras
09/16	LDU Quito 3x2 Palmeiras
09/12	Palmeiras 2x0 São Paulo
09/09	Palmeiras 1x0 LDU Quito
09/06	Botafogo 0x0 Palmeiras

BahiaLWWWW

Bahia's last matches
09/20	Athletico PR 2x1 Bahia
09/14	Bahia 2x1 Remo
09/05	Bragantino 2x3 Bahia
08/30	Bahia 3x2 Internacional
08/23	Vitória 0x2 Bahia

Head-to-head

Last matches between Palmeiras and Bahia
04/05/2026	Bahia 1x2 Palmeiras

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 29

Frequently asked questions about Palmeiras vs Bahia

What was the score of Palmeiras vs Bahia?: Palmeiras 1 x 0 Bahia, Thursday, October 8, at Allianz Parque, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Bahia?: The model pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Palmeiras vs Bahia?: Bahia had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 22 to 6, and corners were 7 to 3.
How did Palmeiras and Bahia arrive for this match?: Palmeiras arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Bahia arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Bahia 1 x 2 Palmeiras.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.