Cruzeiro 2 x 0 São Paulo: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 29

Cruzeiro

Home

2 × 0

São Paulo

Away

Wednesday, October 7 · 09:30 PMEstádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Cruzeiro win50.1%

Draw32.4%

São Paulo win17.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals30.4%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Cruzeiro beat São Paulo 2 to 0 at home, Wednesday, October 7, at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto and in the Série A 2026.

Cruzeiro had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 18 to 12, and corners were 8 to 8.

Cruzeiro arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). São Paulo arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended São Paulo 4 x 1 Cruzeiro.

Match statistics

54%Possession46%

9On target3

18Shots12

8Corners8

12Fouls20

1Offsides2

3Saves7

2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Cruzeiro win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CruzeiroWLWLL

Cruzeiro's last matches
09/20	Vitória 1x3 Cruzeiro
09/12	Santos 2x1 Cruzeiro
09/06	Cruzeiro 3x1 Athletico PR
09/01	Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Cruzeiro
08/29	Vasco da Gama 3x1 Cruzeiro

São PauloLWLWW

São Paulo's last matches
10/02	São Paulo 1x2 Santos
09/19	São Paulo 1x0 Internacional
09/12	Palmeiras 2x0 São Paulo
09/05	São Paulo 2x0 Atlético Mineiro
08/29	São Paulo 2x1 Bragantino

Head-to-head

Last matches between Cruzeiro and São Paulo
04/04/2026	São Paulo 4x1 Cruzeiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Create free account I already have an account

Other matches in round 29

Frequently asked questions about Cruzeiro vs São Paulo

What was the score of Cruzeiro vs São Paulo?: Cruzeiro 2 x 0 São Paulo, Wednesday, October 7, at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs São Paulo?: The model pointed to a Cruzeiro win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Cruzeiro vs São Paulo?: Cruzeiro had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 18 to 12, and corners were 8 to 8.
How did Cruzeiro and São Paulo arrive for this match?: Cruzeiro arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). São Paulo arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended São Paulo 4 x 1 Cruzeiro.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.