Santos 2 x 2 Flamengo: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 29

Santos

Santos

Home

2 × 2

Flamengo

Flamengo

Away

Estádio Urbano Caldeira

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Santos win24.9%
Draw36.4%
Flamengo win38.7%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals39.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Santos and Flamengo drew 2 to 2, Thursday, October 8, at Estádio Urbano Caldeira and in the Série A 2026.

Flamengo had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 14 to 9, and corners were 5 to 5.

Santos arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points). Flamengo arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Flamengo 3 x 1 Santos.

Santos vs Flamengo stats

Match statistics
45%Possession55%
4On target6
14Shots9
5Corners5
16Fouls15
2Offsides0
3Saves2
6Yellow cards4
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

SantosWWWWD

Santos's last matches
10/02São Paulo 1x2 Santos
09/19Remo 1x2 Santos
09/12Santos 2x1 Cruzeiro
09/06Internacional 2x3 Santos
09/02Santos 0x0 Palmeiras

FlamengoWDWWW

Flamengo's last matches
09/20Flamengo 2x1 Bragantino
09/17Flamengo 1x1 Independiente del Valle
09/13Flamengo 2x1 Corinthians
09/10Independiente del Valle 0x2 Flamengo
09/06Remo 0x1 Flamengo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Santos and Flamengo
04/05/2026Flamengo 3x1 Santos

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 29

Frequently asked questions about Santos vs Flamengo

What was the score of Santos vs Flamengo?
Santos 2 x 2 Flamengo, Thursday, October 8, at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Flamengo?
The model pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Santos vs Flamengo?
Flamengo had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 14 to 9, and corners were 5 to 5.
How did Santos and Flamengo arrive for this match?
Santos arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points). Flamengo arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Flamengo 3 x 1 Santos.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.