What was the score of Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?

Botafogo 1 x 2 Vasco da Gama, Wednesday, October 7, at Estádio Nilton Santos, in the Série A 2026.

Botafogo 1 x 2 Vasco da Gama: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 29

Botafogo

Home

1 × 2

Vasco da Gama

Away

Wednesday, October 7 · 08:30 PMEstádio Nilton Santos

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo win42.1%

Draw38.1%

Vasco da Gama win19.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals43.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vasco da Gama beat Botafogo 2 to 1 away from home, Wednesday, October 7, at Estádio Nilton Santos and in the Série A 2026.

Vasco da Gama had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 8 to 14, and corners were 7 to 14.

Botafogo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Botafogo, 0 for Vasco da Gama and 2 draws.

Match statistics

46%Possession54%

2On target8

8Shots14

7Corners14

10Fouls12

3Offsides2

5Saves1

1Yellow cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Botafogo win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

BotafogoLWDDL

Botafogo's last matches
09/19	Mirassol 2x0 Botafogo
09/16	Botafogo 3x2 Grêmio
09/12	Botafogo 1x1 Bragantino
09/06	Botafogo 0x0 Palmeiras
08/30	Flamengo 3x0 Botafogo

Vasco da GamaWWLWW

Vasco da Gama's last matches
09/19	Vasco da Gama 5x0 Coritiba
09/12	Grêmio 1x2 Vasco da Gama
09/05	Fluminense 1x0 Vasco da Gama
09/02	Vitória 0x2 Vasco da Gama
08/29	Vasco da Gama 3x1 Cruzeiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Botafogo and Vasco da Gama
04/04/2026	Vasco da Gama 1x2 Botafogo
09/11/2025	Botafogo 1x1 Vasco da Gama
08/27/2025	Vasco da Gama 1x1 Botafogo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 29

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama

What was the score of Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?: Botafogo 1 x 2 Vasco da Gama, Wednesday, October 7, at Estádio Nilton Santos, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?: The model pointed to a Botafogo win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama?: Vasco da Gama had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 8 to 14, and corners were 7 to 14.
How did Botafogo and Vasco da Gama arrive for this match?: Botafogo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Botafogo, 0 for Vasco da Gama and 2 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.