What was the score of Vitória vs Vasco da Gama?

Vitória 1 x 0 Vasco da Gama, Thursday, July 16, at Estádio Manoel Barradas, in the Série A 2026.

Vitória 1 x 0 Vasco da Gama: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 19

Vitória

Home

1 × 0

Vasco da Gama

Away

Thursday, July 16 · 07:30 PMEstádio Manoel Barradas

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vitória win56.4%

Draw20.2%

Vasco da Gama win23.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals43.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vitória beat Vasco da Gama 1 to 0 at home, Thursday, July 16, at Estádio Manoel Barradas and in the Série A 2026.

Vasco da Gama had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 10 to 9, and corners were 3 to 2.

Vitória arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Vitória 2 x 1 Vasco da Gama.

Match statistics

49%Possession51%

5On target3

10Shots9

3Corners2

12Fouls15

1Offsides1

3Saves4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Vitória win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

VitóriaLWLWD

Vitória's last matches
05/30	Santos 3x1 Vitória
05/23	Vitória 2x0 Internacional
05/17	Bragantino 2x0 Vitória
05/14	Vitória 2x0 Flamengo
05/09	Fluminense 2x2 Vitória

Vasco da GamaLLLDW

Vasco da Gama's last matches
05/31	Vasco da Gama 0x1 Atlético Mineiro
05/24	Vasco da Gama 0x3 Bragantino
05/16	Internacional 4x1 Vasco da Gama
05/13	Vasco da Gama 2x2 Paysandu
05/10	Vasco da Gama 1x0 Athletico PR

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vitória and Vasco da Gama
05/10/2025	Vitória 2x1 Vasco da Gama

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 19

Frequently asked questions about Vitória vs Vasco da Gama

What was the score of Vitória vs Vasco da Gama?: Vitória 1 x 0 Vasco da Gama, Thursday, July 16, at Estádio Manoel Barradas, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Vitória vs Vasco da Gama?: The model pointed to a Vitória win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Vitória vs Vasco da Gama?: Vasco da Gama had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 10 to 9, and corners were 3 to 2.
How did Vitória and Vasco da Gama arrive for this match?: Vitória arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Vitória 2 x 1 Vasco da Gama.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.