Botafogo 2 x 1 Santos: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 19

Botafogo

Botafogo

Home

2 × 1

Santos

Santos

Away

Estádio Nilton Santos

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo win58.5%
Draw17.5%
Santos win24.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals72.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Botafogo beat Santos 2 to 1 at home, Thursday, July 16, at Estádio Nilton Santos and in the Série A 2026.

Santos had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 11 to 15, and corners were 5 to 6.

Botafogo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Santos arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

Botafogo vs Santos stats

Match statistics
48%Possession52%
6On target9
11Shots15
5Corners6
10Fouls13
1Offsides0
8Saves4
4Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Botafogo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

BotafogoLDWLD

Botafogo's last matches
05/30Bahia 2x1 Botafogo
05/23São Paulo 1x1 Botafogo
05/17Botafogo 3x1 Corinthians
05/14Chapecoense 2x0 Botafogo
05/10Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Botafogo

SantosWLLWW

Santos's last matches
05/30Santos 3x1 Vitória
05/23Grêmio 3x2 Santos
05/17Santos 0x3 Coritiba
05/13Coritiba 0x2 Santos
05/10Santos 2x0 Bragantino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 19

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo vs Santos

What was the score of Botafogo vs Santos?
Botafogo 2 x 1 Santos, Thursday, July 16, at Estádio Nilton Santos, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Santos?
The model pointed to a Botafogo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo vs Santos?
Santos had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 11 to 15, and corners were 5 to 6.
How did Botafogo and Santos arrive for this match?
Botafogo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Santos arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.