What was the score of São Paulo vs Athletico PR?

São Paulo 1 x 2 Athletico PR, Wednesday, July 22, at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, in the Série A 2026.

São Paulo 1 x 2 Athletico PR: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 19

São Paulo

Home

1 × 2

Athletico PR

Away

Wednesday, July 22 · 09:30 PMEstádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Paulo win38.6%

Draw30.9%

Athletico PR win30.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals25.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Athletico PR beat São Paulo 2 to 1 away from home, Wednesday, July 22, at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo and in the Série A 2026.

São Paulo had more of the ball (70% possession), shots were 10 to 9, and corners were 7 to 3.

São Paulo arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points). Athletico PR arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for São Paulo, 1 for Athletico PR and 0 draws.

Match statistics

70%Possession30%

3On target3

10Shots9

7Corners3

7Fouls15

1Saves2

0Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a São Paulo win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São PauloLDLLL

São Paulo's last matches
05/31	Remo 1x0 São Paulo
05/23	São Paulo 1x1 Botafogo
05/16	Fluminense 2x1 São Paulo
05/13	Juventude 3x1 São Paulo
05/10	Corinthians 3x2 São Paulo

Athletico PRWWDDL

Athletico PR's last matches
05/30	Athletico PR 1x0 Mirassol
05/24	Remo 1x2 Athletico PR
05/17	Athletico PR 1x1 Flamengo
05/14	Atlético GO 0x0 Athletico PR
05/10	Vasco da Gama 1x0 Athletico PR

Head-to-head

Last matches between São Paulo and Athletico PR
08/06/2025	Athletico PR 1x0 São Paulo
07/31/2025	São Paulo 2x1 Athletico PR

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 19

Frequently asked questions about São Paulo vs Athletico PR

What was the score of São Paulo vs Athletico PR?: São Paulo 1 x 2 Athletico PR, Wednesday, July 22, at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for São Paulo vs Athletico PR?: The model pointed to a São Paulo win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for São Paulo vs Athletico PR?: São Paulo had more of the ball (70% possession), shots were 10 to 9, and corners were 7 to 3.
How did São Paulo and Athletico PR arrive for this match?: São Paulo arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points). Athletico PR arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for São Paulo, 1 for Athletico PR and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.