What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia?

Atlético Mineiro 1 x 1 Bahia, Tuesday, July 21, at Arena MRV, in the Série A 2026.

Atlético Mineiro 1 x 1 Bahia: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 19

Atlético Mineiro

Home

1 × 1

Bahia

Away

Tuesday, July 21 · 07:30 PMArena MRV

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Atlético Mineiro win45.3%

Draw25.2%

Bahia win29.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals35.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Atlético Mineiro and Bahia drew 1 to 1, Tuesday, July 21, at Arena MRV and in the Série A 2026.

Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 12 to 16, and corners were 6 to 4.

Atlético Mineiro arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Bahia arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Atlético Mineiro 1 x 1 Bahia.

Match statistics

50%Possession50%

4On target4

12Shots16

6Corners4

4Fouls12

2Offsides1

3Saves3

0Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Atlético MineiroWLWLD

Atlético Mineiro's last matches
05/31	Vasco da Gama 0x1 Atlético Mineiro
05/24	Corinthians 1x0 Atlético Mineiro
05/16	Atlético Mineiro 3x1 Mirassol
05/13	Ceará 2x1 Atlético Mineiro
05/10	Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Botafogo

BahiaWWLDL

Bahia's last matches
07/17	Bahia 2x0 Chapecoense
05/30	Bahia 2x1 Botafogo
05/25	Coritiba 3x2 Bahia
05/17	Bahia 1x1 Grêmio
05/13	Remo 2x1 Bahia

Head-to-head

Last matches between Atlético Mineiro and Bahia
06/02/2024	Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Bahia

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 19

Frequently asked questions about Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia

What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia?: Atlético Mineiro 1 x 1 Bahia, Tuesday, July 21, at Arena MRV, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia?: The model pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia?: Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 12 to 16, and corners were 6 to 4.
How did Atlético Mineiro and Bahia arrive for this match?: Atlético Mineiro arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Bahia arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Atlético Mineiro 1 x 1 Bahia.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.