Coritiba 1 x 3 Palmeiras: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 19

Coritiba

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1 × 3

Palmeiras

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Wednesday, July 22 · 07:30 PMEstádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Coritiba win26.1%

Draw30.0%

Palmeiras win43.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals32.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Palmeiras beat Coritiba 3 to 1 away from home, Wednesday, July 22, at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira and in the Série A 2026.

Coritiba had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 14 to 11, and corners were 8 to 4.

Coritiba arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Palmeiras arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

Match statistics

52%Possession48%

6On target6

14Shots11

8Corners4

10Fouls16

0Offsides1

3Saves5

1Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CoritibaLWWLD

Coritiba's last matches
05/30	Flamengo 3x0 Coritiba
05/25	Coritiba 3x2 Bahia
05/17	Santos 0x3 Coritiba
05/13	Coritiba 0x2 Santos
05/09	Coritiba 2x2 Internacional

PalmeirasWWWLD

Palmeiras's last matches
05/31	Palmeiras 1x0 Chapecoense
05/28	Palmeiras 4x1 Junior FC
05/23	Flamengo 0x3 Palmeiras
05/20	Palmeiras 0x1 Cerro Porteño
05/16	Palmeiras 1x1 Cruzeiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 19

Frequently asked questions about Coritiba vs Palmeiras

What was the score of Coritiba vs Palmeiras?: Coritiba 1 x 3 Palmeiras, Wednesday, July 22, at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Palmeiras?: The model pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Coritiba vs Palmeiras?: Coritiba had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 14 to 11, and corners were 8 to 4.
How did Coritiba and Palmeiras arrive for this match?: Coritiba arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Palmeiras arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.