What was the score of Vitória vs Grêmio?

Vitória 1 x 0 Grêmio, Monday, September 7, at Estádio Manoel Barradas, in the Série A 2026.

Vitória 1 x 0 Grêmio: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 26

Vitória

Home

1 × 0

Grêmio

Away

Monday, September 7 · 08:00 PMEstádio Manoel Barradas

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vitória win29.4%

Draw42.8%

Grêmio win27.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals22.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vitória beat Grêmio 1 to 0 at home, Monday, September 7, at Estádio Manoel Barradas and in the Série A 2026.

Grêmio had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 17 to 9, and corners were 6 to 1.

Vitória arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Vitória, 1 for Grêmio and 1 draw.

Match statistics

46%Possession54%

6On target5

17Shots9

6Corners1

13Fouls19

1Offsides1

5Saves5

2Yellow cards5

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

VitóriaLLLLW

Vitória's last matches
09/02	Vitória 0x2 Vasco da Gama
08/29	Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Vitória
08/26	Vasco da Gama 1x0 Vitória
08/23	Vitória 0x2 Bahia
08/16	Vitória 1x0 Botafogo

GrêmioWWDLL

Grêmio's last matches
09/03	Grêmio 3x1 Internacional
08/30	Grêmio 3x1 Chapecoense
08/27	Internacional 0x0 Grêmio
08/23	Bragantino 1x0 Grêmio
08/16	Atlético Mineiro 3x0 Grêmio

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vitória and Grêmio
03/19/2026	Grêmio 2x0 Vitória
04/27/2025	Vitória 1x1 Grêmio

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 26

Frequently asked questions about Vitória vs Grêmio

What was the score of Vitória vs Grêmio?: Vitória 1 x 0 Grêmio, Monday, September 7, at Estádio Manoel Barradas, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Vitória vs Grêmio?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Vitória vs Grêmio?: Grêmio had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 17 to 9, and corners were 6 to 1.
How did Vitória and Grêmio arrive for this match?: Vitória arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Vitória, 1 for Grêmio and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.