Fluminense 1 x 0 Vasco da Gama: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 26

Fluminense

Fluminense

Home

1 × 0

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

Away

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fluminense win49.9%
Draw32.6%
Vasco da Gama win17.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals42.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fluminense beat Vasco da Gama 1 to 0 at home, Saturday, September 5, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho and in the Série A 2026.

Vasco da Gama had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 7 to 11, and corners were 6 to 6.

Fluminense arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

In the 5 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Fluminense, 3 for Vasco da Gama and 1 draw.

Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama stats

Match statistics
45%Possession55%
4On target4
7Shots11
6Corners6
11Fouls20
1Offsides1
4Saves3
4Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Fluminense win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FluminenseDWDWD

Fluminense's last matches
08/30Athletico PR 3x3 Fluminense
08/22Fluminense 2x1 Remo
08/18Independiente Rivadavia 1x1 Fluminense
08/15Fluminense 3x2 Palmeiras
08/11Fluminense 0x0 Independiente Rivadavia

Vasco da GamaWWWLL

Vasco da Gama's last matches
09/02Vitória 0x2 Vasco da Gama
08/29Vasco da Gama 3x1 Cruzeiro
08/26Vasco da Gama 1x0 Vitória
08/23Palmeiras 4x1 Vasco da Gama
08/16Vasco da Gama 0x3 Santos

Head-to-head

Last matches between Fluminense and Vasco da Gama
08/05/2026Fluminense 1x3 Vasco da Gama
08/01/2026Vasco da Gama 0x0 Fluminense
03/18/2026Vasco da Gama 3x2 Fluminense
12/14/2025Fluminense 1x0 Vasco da Gama
12/11/2025Vasco da Gama 2x1 Fluminense

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 26

Frequently asked questions about Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama

What was the score of Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?
Fluminense 1 x 0 Vasco da Gama, Saturday, September 5, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?
The model pointed to a Fluminense win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama?
Vasco da Gama had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 7 to 11, and corners were 6 to 6.
How did Fluminense and Vasco da Gama arrive for this match?
Fluminense arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 5 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Fluminense, 3 for Vasco da Gama and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.