Bragantino 2 x 3 Bahia: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 26

Bragantino

Home

2 × 3

Bahia

Away

Saturday, September 5 · 04:00 PMEstádio Cicero de Souza Marques

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Bragantino win33.3%

Draw42.8%

Bahia win23.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals35.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Bahia beat Bragantino 3 to 2 away from home, Saturday, September 5, at Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques and in the Série A 2026.

Bragantino had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 18 to 10, and corners were 10 to 8.

Bragantino arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Bahia arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Bahia 2 x 0 Bragantino.

Match statistics

51%Possession49%

10On target5

18Shots10

10Corners8

11Fouls17

1Offsides0

2Saves9

2Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

BragantinoLWDLD

Bragantino's last matches
08/29	São Paulo 2x1 Bragantino
08/23	Bragantino 1x0 Grêmio
08/15	Athletico PR 1x1 Bragantino
08/09	Bragantino 0x2 Corinthians
07/26	Bragantino 0x0 Coritiba

BahiaWWDDD

Bahia's last matches
08/30	Bahia 3x2 Internacional
08/23	Vitória 0x2 Bahia
08/16	Chapecoense 3x3 Bahia
08/09	Bahia 0x0 Vasco da Gama
07/29	Fluminense 0x0 Bahia

Head-to-head

Last matches between Bragantino and Bahia
03/18/2026	Bahia 2x0 Bragantino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 26

Frequently asked questions about Bragantino vs Bahia

What was the score of Bragantino vs Bahia?: Bragantino 2 x 3 Bahia, Saturday, September 5, at Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Bahia?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Bragantino vs Bahia?: Bragantino had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 18 to 10, and corners were 10 to 8.
How did Bragantino and Bahia arrive for this match?: Bragantino arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Bahia arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Bahia 2 x 0 Bragantino.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.