Coritiba 1 x 2 Mirassol: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 26

Coritiba

Coritiba

Home

1 × 2

Mirassol

Mirassol

Away

Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Coritiba win46.7%
Draw37.7%
Mirassol win15.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals40.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Mirassol beat Coritiba 2 to 1 away from home, Sunday, September 6, at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira and in the Série A 2026.

Mirassol had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 12 to 14, and corners were 5 to 7.

Coritiba arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Mirassol arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Mirassol 0 x 1 Coritiba.

Coritiba vs Mirassol stats

Match statistics
47%Possession53%
6On target7
12Shots14
5Corners7
14Fouls10
1Offsides2
4Saves5
2Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Coritiba win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CoritibaWWDWL

Coritiba's last matches
08/31Remo 2x3 Coritiba
08/23Coritiba 2x1 Corinthians
08/15São Paulo 1x1 Coritiba
08/08Coritiba 2x1 Chapecoense
07/30Coritiba 0x1 Cruzeiro

MirassolLDDDL

Mirassol's last matches
09/02Flamengo 2x0 Mirassol
08/30Mirassol 1x1 Palmeiras
08/23Santos 1x1 Mirassol
08/20LDU Quito 0x0 Mirassol
08/16Mirassol 1x5 Flamengo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Coritiba and Mirassol
03/18/2026Mirassol 0x1 Coritiba

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 26

Frequently asked questions about Coritiba vs Mirassol

What was the score of Coritiba vs Mirassol?
Coritiba 1 x 2 Mirassol, Sunday, September 6, at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Mirassol?
The model pointed to a Coritiba win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Coritiba vs Mirassol?
Mirassol had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 12 to 14, and corners were 5 to 7.
How did Coritiba and Mirassol arrive for this match?
Coritiba arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Mirassol arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Mirassol 0 x 1 Coritiba.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.