Cruzeiro 3 x 1 Athletico PR: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 26

Cruzeiro

Home

3 × 1

Athletico PR

Away

Sunday, September 6 · 04:00 PMEstádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Cruzeiro win29.6%

Draw44.0%

Athletico PR win26.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals42.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Cruzeiro beat Athletico PR 3 to 1 at home, Sunday, September 6, at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto and in the Série A 2026.

Cruzeiro had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 18 to 13, and corners were 7 to 2.

Cruzeiro arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Athletico PR arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletico PR 2 x 1 Cruzeiro.

Match statistics

61%Possession39%

6On target7

18Shots13

7Corners2

9Fouls14

1Offsides2

6Saves3

2Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CruzeiroLLDWL

Cruzeiro's last matches
09/01	Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Cruzeiro
08/29	Vasco da Gama 3x1 Cruzeiro
08/25	Cruzeiro 1x1 Atlético Mineiro
08/22	Cruzeiro 2x1 Flamengo
08/19	Flamengo 2x1 Cruzeiro

Athletico PRDWDWL

Athletico PR's last matches
08/30	Athletico PR 3x3 Fluminense
08/24	Botafogo 2x3 Athletico PR
08/15	Athletico PR 1x1 Bragantino
08/09	Santos 0x2 Athletico PR
08/06	Vitória 4x0 Athletico PR

Head-to-head

Last matches between Cruzeiro and Athletico PR
03/18/2026	Athletico PR 2x1 Cruzeiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 26

Frequently asked questions about Cruzeiro vs Athletico PR

What was the score of Cruzeiro vs Athletico PR?: Cruzeiro 3 x 1 Athletico PR, Sunday, September 6, at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Athletico PR?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Cruzeiro vs Athletico PR?: Cruzeiro had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 18 to 13, and corners were 7 to 2.
How did Cruzeiro and Athletico PR arrive for this match?: Cruzeiro arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Athletico PR arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletico PR 2 x 1 Cruzeiro.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.