São Paulo 2 x 0 Atlético Mineiro: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 26

São Paulo

São Paulo

Home

2 × 0

Atlético Mineiro

Atlético Mineiro

Away

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Paulo win29.0%
Draw45.4%
Atlético Mineiro win25.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals25.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

São Paulo beat Atlético Mineiro 2 to 0 at home, Saturday, September 5, at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo and in the Série A 2026.

São Paulo had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 15 to 3, and corners were 16 to 2.

São Paulo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Atlético Mineiro arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for São Paulo, 2 for Atlético Mineiro and 1 draw.

São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro stats

Match statistics
52%Possession48%
5On target0
15Shots3
16Corners2
19Fouls12
2Offsides0
0Saves3
1Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São PauloWLDLD

São Paulo's last matches
08/29São Paulo 2x1 Bragantino
08/23Chapecoense 1x0 São Paulo
08/15São Paulo 1x1 Coritiba
08/08Grêmio 2x1 São Paulo
07/26Flamengo 1x1 São Paulo

Atlético MineiroWWDDW

Atlético Mineiro's last matches
09/01Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Cruzeiro
08/29Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Vitória
08/25Cruzeiro 1x1 Atlético Mineiro
08/22Internacional 0x0 Atlético Mineiro
08/16Atlético Mineiro 3x0 Grêmio

Head-to-head

Last matches between São Paulo and Atlético Mineiro
03/18/2026Atlético Mineiro 1x0 São Paulo
09/12/2024Atlético Mineiro 0x0 São Paulo
08/28/2024São Paulo 0x1 Atlético Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 26

Frequently asked questions about São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro

What was the score of São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro?
São Paulo 2 x 0 Atlético Mineiro, Saturday, September 5, at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for São Paulo vs Atlético Mineiro?
São Paulo had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 15 to 3, and corners were 16 to 2.
How did São Paulo and Atlético Mineiro arrive for this match?
São Paulo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Atlético Mineiro arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for São Paulo, 2 for Atlético Mineiro and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.