What was the score of Vila Nova vs Athletic Club?

Vila Nova 1 x 1 Athletic Club, Monday, May 4, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, in the Série B 2026.

Vila Nova 1 x 1 Athletic Club: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 7

Vila Nova

Home

1 × 1

Athletic Club

Away

Monday, May 4 · 07:00 PMEstádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vila Nova win57.4%

Draw31.3%

Athletic Club win11.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals93.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vila Nova and Athletic Club drew 1 to 1, Monday, May 4, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga and in the Série B 2026.

Vila Nova had more of the ball (68% possession), shots were 11 to 2, and corners were 9 to 1.

Vila Nova arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

Match statistics

68%Possession32%

5On target2

11Shots2

9Corners1

13Fouls14

0Offsides1

1Saves4

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vila NovaDWWWD

Vila Nova's last matches
04/26	Ceará 3x3 Vila Nova
04/18	Vila Nova 2x1 Operário PR
04/11	Ponte Preta 0x1 Vila Nova
04/04	Vila Nova 2x1 Atlético GO
04/01	Sport Recife 1x1 Vila Nova

Athletic ClubLLLWD

Athletic Club's last matches
04/27	Athletic Club 0x1 Náutico
04/22	Athletic Club 1x2 Internacional
04/19	Novorizontino 2x1 Athletic Club
04/12	CRB 2x3 Athletic Club
04/05	Athletic Club 1x1 América Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 7

Frequently asked questions about Vila Nova vs Athletic Club

What was the score of Vila Nova vs Athletic Club?: Vila Nova 1 x 1 Athletic Club, Monday, May 4, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Athletic Club?: The model pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Vila Nova vs Athletic Club?: Vila Nova had more of the ball (68% possession), shots were 11 to 2, and corners were 9 to 1.
How did Vila Nova and Athletic Club arrive for this match?: Vila Nova arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.