São Bernardo 3 x 0 Ponte Preta: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 7

São Bernardo

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3 × 0

Ponte Preta

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Sunday, May 3 · 04:00 PMEstádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Bernardo win66.6%

Draw19.8%

Ponte Preta win13.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals24.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

São Bernardo beat Ponte Preta 3 to 0 at home, Sunday, May 3, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco and in the Série B 2026.

Ponte Preta had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 9 to 6, and corners were 2 to 6.

São Bernardo arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Ponte Preta arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

Match statistics

49%Possession51%

6On target0

9Shots6

2Corners6

11Fouls10

1Offsides2

0Saves3

2Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São BernardoWWLWL

São Bernardo's last matches
04/26	São Bernardo 1x0 Goiás
04/18	Náutico 0x3 São Bernardo
04/12	São Bernardo 0x1 Fortaleza
04/05	Botafogo SP 1x2 São Bernardo
04/02	São Bernardo 1x2 Operário PR

Ponte PretaWWLLD

Ponte Preta's last matches
04/24	Ponte Preta 1x0 América Mineiro
04/18	Avaí 1x2 Ponte Preta
04/11	Ponte Preta 0x1 Vila Nova
04/04	Náutico 1x0 Ponte Preta
04/01	Ponte Preta 1x1 Ceará

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 7

Frequently asked questions about São Bernardo vs Ponte Preta

What was the score of São Bernardo vs Ponte Preta?: São Bernardo 3 x 0 Ponte Preta, Sunday, May 3, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for São Bernardo vs Ponte Preta?: The model pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for São Bernardo vs Ponte Preta?: Ponte Preta had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 9 to 6, and corners were 2 to 6.
How did São Bernardo and Ponte Preta arrive for this match?: São Bernardo arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Ponte Preta arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.