Botafogo SP 1 x 1 Náutico: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 7

Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP

Home

1 × 1

Náutico

Náutico

Away

Estádio Santa Cruz

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo SP win38.2%
Draw42.1%
Náutico win19.7%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals36.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Botafogo SP and Náutico drew 1 to 1, Saturday, May 2, at Estádio Santa Cruz and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 9 to 9, and corners were 11 to 2.

Botafogo SP arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

Botafogo SP vs Náutico stats

Match statistics
47%Possession53%
7On target3
9Shots9
11Corners2
18Fouls18
3Offsides1
2Saves7
2Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Botafogo SPDDLLW

Botafogo SP's last matches
04/22Cuiabá 1x1 Botafogo SP
04/19Botafogo SP 1x1 Atlético GO
04/10Criciúma 1x0 Botafogo SP
04/05Botafogo SP 1x2 São Bernardo
04/01América Mineiro 1x2 Botafogo SP

NáuticoWLLWW

Náutico's last matches
04/27Athletic Club 0x1 Náutico
04/18Náutico 0x3 São Bernardo
04/11Ceará 1x0 Náutico
04/04Náutico 1x0 Ponte Preta
04/01Atlético GO 1x2 Náutico

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 7

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo SP vs Náutico

What was the score of Botafogo SP vs Náutico?
Botafogo SP 1 x 1 Náutico, Saturday, May 2, at Estádio Santa Cruz, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Náutico?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo SP vs Náutico?
Náutico had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 9 to 9, and corners were 11 to 2.
How did Botafogo SP and Náutico arrive for this match?
Botafogo SP arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.