Fortaleza 4 x 1 Goiás: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 7

Fortaleza

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4 × 1

Goiás

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Saturday, May 2 · 08:30 PMEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fortaleza win71.0%

Draw15.1%

Goiás win13.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals72.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fortaleza beat Goiás 4 to 1 at home, Saturday, May 2, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Goiás had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 14 to 10, and corners were 3 to 3.

Fortaleza arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points). Goiás arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

Match statistics

44%Possession56%

9On target4

14Shots10

3Corners3

11Fouls17

0Offsides1

1Saves5

4Yellow cards3

0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FortalezaDWWWW

Fortaleza's last matches
04/26	Operário PR 0x0 Fortaleza
04/22	Fortaleza 2x1 CRB
04/19	Fortaleza 3x2 Criciúma
04/12	São Bernardo 0x1 Fortaleza
04/04	Fortaleza 2x1 Juventude

GoiásLDLLW

Goiás's last matches
04/26	São Bernardo 1x0 Goiás
04/22	Goiás 2x2 Cruzeiro
04/19	Goiás 0x2 Cuiabá
04/11	Juventude 2x0 Goiás
04/06	Goiás 1x0 Criciúma

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 7

Frequently asked questions about Fortaleza vs Goiás

What was the score of Fortaleza vs Goiás?: Fortaleza 4 x 1 Goiás, Saturday, May 2, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Goiás?: The model pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Fortaleza vs Goiás?: Goiás had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 14 to 10, and corners were 3 to 3.
How did Fortaleza and Goiás arrive for this match?: Fortaleza arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points). Goiás arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.