Avaí 3 x 3 Novorizontino: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 7

Avaí

Avaí

Home

3 × 3

Novorizontino

Novorizontino

Away

Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Avaí win39.9%
Draw40.7%
Novorizontino win19.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals59.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Avaí and Novorizontino drew 3 to 3, Sunday, May 3, at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva and in the Série B 2026.

Avaí had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 12 to 10, and corners were 5 to 3.

Avaí arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Novorizontino arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Avaí, 0 for Novorizontino and 2 draws.

Avaí vs Novorizontino stats

Match statistics
52%Possession48%
4On target4
12Shots10
5Corners3
27Fouls15
5Offsides2
1Saves1
5Yellow cards2
1Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

AvaíLLDDW

Avaí's last matches
04/26Atlético GO 2x1 Avaí
04/18Avaí 1x2 Ponte Preta
04/11Sport Recife 2x2 Avaí
04/05Avaí 0x0 Operário PR
04/01CRB 0x1 Avaí

NovorizontinoLWWDD

Novorizontino's last matches
04/25Sport Recife 1x0 Novorizontino
04/19Novorizontino 2x1 Athletic Club
04/12América Mineiro 0x3 Novorizontino
04/05Novorizontino 1x1 CRB
03/31Juventude 0x0 Novorizontino

Head-to-head

Last matches between Avaí and Novorizontino
08/03/2025Novorizontino 1x1 Avaí
04/06/2025Avaí 1x1 Novorizontino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 7

Frequently asked questions about Avaí vs Novorizontino

What was the score of Avaí vs Novorizontino?
Avaí 3 x 3 Novorizontino, Sunday, May 3, at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Avaí vs Novorizontino?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Avaí vs Novorizontino?
Avaí had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 12 to 10, and corners were 5 to 3.
How did Avaí and Novorizontino arrive for this match?
Avaí arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Novorizontino arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Avaí, 0 for Novorizontino and 2 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.