Vila Nova 2 x 1 Operário PR: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 5

Vila Nova

Home

2 × 1

Operário PR

Away

Saturday, April 18 · 06:30 PMEstádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vila Nova win28.6%

Draw33.7%

Operário PR win37.7%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals100.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vila Nova beat Operário PR 2 to 1 at home, Saturday, April 18, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga and in the Série B 2026.

Operário PR had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 7 to 6, and corners were 3 to 6.

Vila Nova arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Operário PR arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Vila Nova, 0 for Operário PR and 1 draw.

Match statistics

45%Possession55%

4On target3

7Shots6

3Corners6

22Fouls7

2Offsides11

2Saves2

7Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Operário PR win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vila NovaWWDDD

Vila Nova's last matches
04/11	Ponte Preta 0x1 Vila Nova
04/04	Vila Nova 2x1 Atlético GO
04/01	Sport Recife 1x1 Vila Nova
03/21	Vila Nova 2x2 CRB
03/18	Vila Nova 0x0 Confiança

Operário PRDDWWW

Operário PR's last matches
04/12	Operário PR 0x0 Cuiabá
04/05	Avaí 0x0 Operário PR
04/02	São Bernardo 1x2 Operário PR
03/21	Operário PR 1x0 Atlético GO
03/17	Londrina 0x1 Operário PR

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vila Nova and Operário PR
07/11/2025	Vila Nova 0x0 Operário PR
08/20/2024	Operário PR 2x3 Vila Nova
05/04/2024	Vila Nova 1x0 Operário PR

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 5

Frequently asked questions about Vila Nova vs Operário PR

What was the score of Vila Nova vs Operário PR?: Vila Nova 2 x 1 Operário PR, Saturday, April 18, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Operário PR?: The model pointed to a Operário PR win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Vila Nova vs Operário PR?: Operário PR had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 7 to 6, and corners were 3 to 6.
How did Vila Nova and Operário PR arrive for this match?: Vila Nova arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Operário PR arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Vila Nova, 0 for Operário PR and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.