Fortaleza 3 x 2 Criciúma: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 5

Fortaleza

Home

3 × 2

Criciúma

Away

Sunday, April 19 · 08:00 PMEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fortaleza win41.5%

Draw24.3%

Criciúma win34.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals100.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fortaleza beat Criciúma 3 to 2 at home, Sunday, April 19, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Criciúma had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 11 to 5, and corners were 4 to 3.

Fortaleza arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Criciúma arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

Match statistics

45%Possession55%

4On target3

11Shots5

4Corners3

18Fouls16

1Offsides3

0Saves3

3Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FortalezaWWDLW

Fortaleza's last matches
04/12	São Bernardo 0x1 Fortaleza
04/04	Fortaleza 2x1 Juventude
03/31	Fortaleza 0x0 Cuiabá
03/21	Botafogo SP 4x0 Fortaleza
03/17	Nova Iguaçu 0x1 Fortaleza

CriciúmaWLDWD

Criciúma's last matches
04/10	Criciúma 1x0 Botafogo SP
04/06	Goiás 1x0 Criciúma
04/01	Criciúma 1x1 Athletic Club
03/22	Náutico 0x1 Criciúma
10/19	Avaí 1x1 Criciúma

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 5

Frequently asked questions about Fortaleza vs Criciúma

What was the score of Fortaleza vs Criciúma?: Fortaleza 3 x 2 Criciúma, Sunday, April 19, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Criciúma?: The model pointed to a Fortaleza win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Fortaleza vs Criciúma?: Criciúma had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 11 to 5, and corners were 4 to 3.
How did Fortaleza and Criciúma arrive for this match?: Fortaleza arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Criciúma arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.