Náutico 0 x 3 São Bernardo: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 5

Náutico

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0 × 3

São Bernardo

Away

Saturday, April 18 · 06:00 PMEstádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Náutico win28.4%

Draw29.8%

São Bernardo win41.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals100.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

São Bernardo beat Náutico 3 to 0 away from home, Saturday, April 18, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 15 to 8, and corners were 10 to 2.

Náutico arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

Match statistics

61%Possession39%

2On target5

15Shots8

10Corners2

15Fouls16

2Offsides2

2Saves3

2Yellow cards6

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NáuticoLWWLL

Náutico's last matches
04/11	Ceará 1x0 Náutico
04/04	Náutico 1x0 Ponte Preta
04/01	Atlético GO 1x2 Náutico
03/22	Náutico 0x1 Criciúma
05/20	Náutico 1x2 São Paulo

São BernardoLWLDD

São Bernardo's last matches
04/12	São Bernardo 0x1 Fortaleza
04/05	Botafogo SP 1x2 São Bernardo
04/02	São Bernardo 1x2 Operário PR
03/21	Ceará 1x1 São Bernardo
03/17	São Bernardo 0x0 Ceará

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 5

Frequently asked questions about Náutico vs São Bernardo

What was the score of Náutico vs São Bernardo?: Náutico 0 x 3 São Bernardo, Saturday, April 18, at Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Náutico vs São Bernardo?: The model pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Náutico vs São Bernardo?: Náutico had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 15 to 8, and corners were 10 to 2.
How did Náutico and São Bernardo arrive for this match?: Náutico arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.