Novorizontino 2 x 1 Athletic Club: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 5

Novorizontino

Novorizontino

Home

2 × 1

Athletic Club

Athletic Club

Away

Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Novorizontino win32.4%
Draw36.8%
Athletic Club win30.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals100.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Novorizontino beat Athletic Club 2 to 1 at home, Sunday, April 19, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi and in the Série B 2026.

Novorizontino had more of the ball (63% possession), shots were 12 to 6, and corners were 11 to 1.

Novorizontino arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

Novorizontino vs Athletic Club stats

Match statistics
63%Possession37%
7On target2
12Shots6
11Corners1
11Fouls15
2Offsides1
1Saves5
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

NovorizontinoWDDLD

Novorizontino's last matches
04/12América Mineiro 0x3 Novorizontino
04/05Novorizontino 1x1 CRB
03/31Juventude 0x0 Novorizontino
03/22Novorizontino 1x3 Londrina
03/18Jacuipense 0x0 Novorizontino

Athletic ClubWDDWW

Athletic Club's last matches
04/12CRB 2x3 Athletic Club
04/05Athletic Club 1x1 América Mineiro
04/01Criciúma 1x1 Athletic Club
03/22Athletic Club 2x1 Ponte Preta
03/17Sport Recife 1x3 Athletic Club

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 5

Frequently asked questions about Novorizontino vs Athletic Club

What was the score of Novorizontino vs Athletic Club?
Novorizontino 2 x 1 Athletic Club, Sunday, April 19, at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Athletic Club?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Novorizontino vs Athletic Club?
Novorizontino had more of the ball (63% possession), shots were 12 to 6, and corners were 11 to 1.
How did Novorizontino and Athletic Club arrive for this match?
Novorizontino arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Athletic Club arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.