Avaí 1 x 2 Ponte Preta: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 5

Avaí

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1 × 2

Ponte Preta

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Saturday, April 18 · 08:30 PMEstádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Avaí win67.6%

Draw10.4%

Ponte Preta win22.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals100.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Ponte Preta beat Avaí 2 to 1 away from home, Saturday, April 18, at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva and in the Série B 2026.

Avaí had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 8 to 11, and corners were 5 to 4.

Avaí arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Ponte Preta arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Ponte Preta 1 x 0 Avaí.

Match statistics

61%Possession39%

2On target8

8Shots11

5Corners4

16Fouls16

1Offsides0

6Saves1

4Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Avaí win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

AvaíDDWWD

Avaí's last matches
04/11	Sport Recife 2x2 Avaí
04/05	Avaí 0x0 Operário PR
04/01	CRB 0x1 Avaí
03/22	Avaí 2x0 Juventude
03/10	Portuguesa 1x1 Avaí

Ponte PretaLLDLL

Ponte Preta's last matches
04/11	Ponte Preta 0x1 Vila Nova
04/04	Náutico 1x0 Ponte Preta
04/01	Ponte Preta 1x1 Ceará
03/22	Athletic Club 2x1 Ponte Preta
03/18	Atlético GO 1x0 Ponte Preta

Head-to-head

Last matches between Avaí and Ponte Preta
08/04/2024	Ponte Preta 1x0 Avaí

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 5

Frequently asked questions about Avaí vs Ponte Preta

What was the score of Avaí vs Ponte Preta?: Avaí 1 x 2 Ponte Preta, Saturday, April 18, at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Avaí vs Ponte Preta?: The model pointed to a Avaí win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Avaí vs Ponte Preta?: Avaí had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 8 to 11, and corners were 5 to 4.
How did Avaí and Ponte Preta arrive for this match?: Avaí arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Ponte Preta arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Ponte Preta 1 x 0 Avaí.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.