Vila Nova 2 x 1 Atlético GO: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 3

Vila Nova

Home

2 × 1

Atlético GO

Away

Saturday, April 4 · 08:00 PMEstádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vila Nova win38.4%

Draw31.1%

Atlético GO win30.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals50.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vila Nova beat Atlético GO 2 to 1 at home, Saturday, April 4, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga and in the Série B 2026.

Vila Nova had more of the ball (58% possession), shots were 13 to 9, and corners were 8 to 3.

Vila Nova arrived with 5 draws in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Atlético GO arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Vila Nova 1 x 0 Atlético GO.

Match statistics

58%Possession42%

5On target4

13Shots9

8Corners3

16Fouls24

1Offsides3

3Saves3

3Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vila NovaDDDDD

Vila Nova's last matches
04/01	Sport Recife 1x1 Vila Nova
03/21	Vila Nova 2x2 CRB
03/18	Vila Nova 0x0 Confiança
03/12	Vila Nova 1x1 Operário MS
03/04	Velo Clube 0x0 Vila Nova

Atlético GOLLWWW

Atlético GO's last matches
04/01	Atlético GO 1x2 Náutico
03/21	Operário PR 1x0 Atlético GO
03/18	Atlético GO 1x0 Ponte Preta
03/11	Porto Velho 0x1 Atlético GO
02/25	Atlético GO 1x0 Primavera Atlético Clube

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vila Nova and Atlético GO
06/28/2025	Vila Nova 1x0 Atlético GO

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 3

Frequently asked questions about Vila Nova vs Atlético GO

What was the score of Vila Nova vs Atlético GO?: Vila Nova 2 x 1 Atlético GO, Saturday, April 4, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Atlético GO?: The model pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Vila Nova vs Atlético GO?: Vila Nova had more of the ball (58% possession), shots were 13 to 9, and corners were 8 to 3.
How did Vila Nova and Atlético GO arrive for this match?: Vila Nova arrived with 5 draws in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Atlético GO arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Vila Nova 1 x 0 Atlético GO.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.