What was the score of Botafogo SP vs São Bernardo?

Botafogo SP 1 x 2 São Bernardo, Sunday, April 5, at Estádio Santa Cruz, in the Série B 2026.

Botafogo SP 1 x 2 São Bernardo: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 3

Botafogo SP

Home

1 × 2

São Bernardo

Away

Sunday, April 5 · 08:30 PMEstádio Santa Cruz

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo SP win39.9%

Draw30.1%

São Bernardo win29.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals50.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

São Bernardo beat Botafogo SP 2 to 1 away from home, Sunday, April 5, at Estádio Santa Cruz and in the Série B 2026.

São Bernardo had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 12 to 8, and corners were 9 to 8.

Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

Match statistics

48%Possession52%

4On target6

12Shots8

9Corners8

12Fouls11

5Offsides1

3Saves3

3Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Botafogo SP win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Botafogo SPWWDLL

Botafogo SP's last matches
04/01	América Mineiro 1x2 Botafogo SP
03/21	Botafogo SP 4x0 Fortaleza
10/19	Botafogo SP 2x2 Cuiabá
09/14	Athletic Club 2x0 Botafogo SP
09/06	Botafogo SP 1x3 Athletico PR

São BernardoLDDWW

São Bernardo's last matches
04/02	São Bernardo 1x2 Operário PR
03/21	Ceará 1x1 São Bernardo
03/17	São Bernardo 0x0 Ceará
03/10	Joinville 0x1 São Bernardo
02/25	São Bernardo 2x0 Atlético Alagoinhas

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 3

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo SP vs São Bernardo

What was the score of Botafogo SP vs São Bernardo?: Botafogo SP 1 x 2 São Bernardo, Sunday, April 5, at Estádio Santa Cruz, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs São Bernardo?: The model pointed to a Botafogo SP win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo SP vs São Bernardo?: São Bernardo had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 12 to 8, and corners were 9 to 8.
How did Botafogo SP and São Bernardo arrive for this match?: Botafogo SP arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). São Bernardo arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.