Fortaleza 2 x 1 Juventude: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 3

Fortaleza

Home

2 × 1

Juventude

Away

Saturday, April 4 · 04:00 PMEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fortaleza win25.0%

Draw54.8%

Juventude win20.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals0.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fortaleza beat Juventude 2 to 1 at home, Saturday, April 4, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Juventude had more of the ball (63% possession), shots were 10 to 17, and corners were 5 to 2.

Fortaleza arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Juventude arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Juventude 1 x 2 Fortaleza.

Match statistics

37%Possession63%

4On target6

10Shots17

5Corners2

23Fouls11

5Offsides1

5Saves3

3Yellow cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FortalezaDLWWW

Fortaleza's last matches
03/31	Fortaleza 0x0 Cuiabá
03/21	Botafogo SP 4x0 Fortaleza
03/17	Nova Iguaçu 0x1 Fortaleza
03/11	Manauara 0x1 Fortaleza
02/24	Fortaleza 4x3 Maguary PE

JuventudeDLWDW

Juventude's last matches
03/31	Juventude 0x0 Novorizontino
03/22	Avaí 2x0 Juventude
03/19	Juventude 3x0 Águia de Marabá
03/12	Tuna Luso 1x1 Juventude
03/05	Juventude 5x0 Guaporé

Head-to-head

Last matches between Fortaleza and Juventude
10/05/2025	Juventude 1x2 Fortaleza

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 3

Frequently asked questions about Fortaleza vs Juventude

What was the score of Fortaleza vs Juventude?: Fortaleza 2 x 1 Juventude, Saturday, April 4, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Fortaleza vs Juventude?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Fortaleza vs Juventude?: Juventude had more of the ball (63% possession), shots were 10 to 17, and corners were 5 to 2.
How did Fortaleza and Juventude arrive for this match?: Fortaleza arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Juventude arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Juventude 1 x 2 Fortaleza.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.