Athletic Club 1 x 1 América Mineiro: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 3

Athletic Club

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1 × 1

América Mineiro

Away

Sunday, April 5 · 08:00 PMEstádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais)

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Athletic Club win39.3%

Draw30.5%

América Mineiro win30.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals50.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Athletic Club and América Mineiro drew 1 to 1, Sunday, April 5, at Estádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais) and in the Série B 2026.

América Mineiro had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 8 to 16, and corners were 4 to 7.

Athletic Club arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). América Mineiro arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletic Club 0 x 2 América Mineiro.

Match statistics

35%Possession65%

4On target7

8Shots16

4Corners7

18Fouls12

1Offsides1

6Saves3

3Yellow cards1

1Red cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Athletic Club win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Athletic ClubDWWWD

Athletic Club's last matches
04/01	Criciúma 1x1 Athletic Club
03/22	Athletic Club 2x1 Ponte Preta
03/17	Sport Recife 1x3 Athletic Club
03/11	Athletic Club 2x0 Ypiranga Erechim
03/04	Rio Branco ES 1x1 Athletic Club

América MineiroLLDDD

América Mineiro's last matches
04/01	América Mineiro 1x2 Botafogo SP
03/22	Goiás 3x1 América Mineiro
03/12	Barra FC 0x0 América Mineiro
03/04	América Mineiro 1x1 Tirol
11/16	América Mineiro 1x1 Cuiabá

Head-to-head

Last matches between Athletic Club and América Mineiro
10/25/2025	Athletic Club 0x2 América Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 3

Frequently asked questions about Athletic Club vs América Mineiro

What was the score of Athletic Club vs América Mineiro?: Athletic Club 1 x 1 América Mineiro, Sunday, April 5, at Estádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais), in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs América Mineiro?: The model pointed to a Athletic Club win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Athletic Club vs América Mineiro?: América Mineiro had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 8 to 16, and corners were 4 to 7.
How did Athletic Club and América Mineiro arrive for this match?: Athletic Club arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). América Mineiro arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletic Club 0 x 2 América Mineiro.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.