Vila Nova 1 x 0 América Mineiro: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 29

Vila Nova

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1 × 0

América Mineiro

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Friday, September 18 · 07:30 PMEstádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vila Nova win64.8%

Draw23.7%

América Mineiro win11.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals45.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vila Nova beat América Mineiro 1 to 0 at home, Friday, September 18, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga and in the Série B 2026.

América Mineiro had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 6 to 15, and corners were 5 to 5.

Vila Nova arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). América Mineiro arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended América Mineiro 1 x 2 Vila Nova.

Match statistics

41%Possession59%

2On target5

6Shots15

5Corners5

20Fouls16

2Offsides4

5Saves1

4Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vila NovaDWLWD

Vila Nova's last matches
09/14	Avaí 1x1 Vila Nova
09/10	Vila Nova 2x0 Goiás
09/04	Athletic Club 5x0 Vila Nova
08/30	Vila Nova 2x0 Ceará
08/23	Operário PR 0x0 Vila Nova

América MineiroLWLWL

América Mineiro's last matches
09/14	América Mineiro 0x2 São Bernardo
09/09	América Mineiro 2x1 Náutico
09/04	CRB 3x1 América Mineiro
08/30	América Mineiro 2x0 Ponte Preta
08/24	Sport Recife 3x0 América Mineiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vila Nova and América Mineiro
05/24/2026	América Mineiro 1x2 Vila Nova

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 29

Frequently asked questions about Vila Nova vs América Mineiro

What was the score of Vila Nova vs América Mineiro?: Vila Nova 1 x 0 América Mineiro, Friday, September 18, at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs América Mineiro?: The model pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Vila Nova vs América Mineiro?: América Mineiro had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 6 to 15, and corners were 5 to 5.
How did Vila Nova and América Mineiro arrive for this match?: Vila Nova arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). América Mineiro arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended América Mineiro 1 x 2 Vila Nova.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.