Cuiabá 3 x 0 Náutico: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 29

Cuiabá

Cuiabá

Home

3 × 0

Náutico

Náutico

Away

Arena Pantanal

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Cuiabá win44.9%
Draw36.8%
Náutico win18.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals26.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Cuiabá beat Náutico 3 to 0 at home, Monday, September 21, at Arena Pantanal and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 20 to 8, and corners were 7 to 4.

Cuiabá arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Náutico 1 x 0 Cuiabá.

Cuiabá vs Náutico stats

Match statistics
44%Possession56%
7On target2
20Shots8
7Corners4
18Fouls10
1Offsides0
2Saves4
1Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Cuiabá win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CuiabáDWLWD

Cuiabá's last matches
09/13Novorizontino 1x1 Cuiabá
09/08Cuiabá 3x0 Athletic Club
09/04Criciúma 2x0 Cuiabá
08/29Botafogo SP 1x2 Cuiabá
08/22Cuiabá 1x1 Goiás

NáuticoDLWWD

Náutico's last matches
09/15Náutico 3x3 Operário PR
09/09América Mineiro 2x1 Náutico
09/03Náutico 1x0 Botafogo SP
08/28Náutico 2x1 Athletic Club
08/23São Bernardo 1x1 Náutico

Head-to-head

Last matches between Cuiabá and Náutico
05/22/2026Náutico 1x0 Cuiabá

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 29

Frequently asked questions about Cuiabá vs Náutico

What was the score of Cuiabá vs Náutico?
Cuiabá 3 x 0 Náutico, Monday, September 21, at Arena Pantanal, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Cuiabá vs Náutico?
The model pointed to a Cuiabá win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Cuiabá vs Náutico?
Náutico had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 20 to 8, and corners were 7 to 4.
How did Cuiabá and Náutico arrive for this match?
Cuiabá arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Náutico 1 x 0 Cuiabá.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.