Athletic Club 1 x 1 Botafogo SP: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 29

Athletic Club

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1 × 1

Botafogo SP

Away

Saturday, September 19 · 06:30 PMEstádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais)

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Athletic Club win49.4%

Draw31.3%

Botafogo SP win19.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals42.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Athletic Club and Botafogo SP drew 1 to 1, Saturday, September 19, at Estádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais) and in the Série B 2026.

Athletic Club had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 13 to 9, and corners were 2 to 5.

Athletic Club arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Botafogo SP arrived with 5 losses in the last 5 matches (0 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Athletic Club, 0 for Botafogo SP and 0 draws.

Match statistics

59%Possession41%

4On target2

13Shots9

2Corners5

15Fouls20

2Offsides0

1Saves3

2Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Athletic Club win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Athletic ClubWLWLL

Athletic Club's last matches
09/13	Juventude 0x2 Athletic Club
09/08	Cuiabá 3x0 Athletic Club
09/04	Athletic Club 5x0 Vila Nova
08/28	Náutico 2x1 Athletic Club
08/24	Athletic Club 1x4 Novorizontino

Botafogo SPLLLLL

Botafogo SP's last matches
09/14	Botafogo SP 1x3 Goiás
09/09	Botafogo SP 1x3 Novorizontino
09/03	Náutico 1x0 Botafogo SP
08/29	Botafogo SP 1x2 Cuiabá
08/25	Atlético GO 3x0 Botafogo SP

Head-to-head

Last matches between Athletic Club and Botafogo SP
05/25/2026	Botafogo SP 1x2 Athletic Club
09/14/2025	Athletic Club 2x0 Botafogo SP

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 29

Frequently asked questions about Athletic Club vs Botafogo SP

What was the score of Athletic Club vs Botafogo SP?: Athletic Club 1 x 1 Botafogo SP, Saturday, September 19, at Estádio Joaquim Portugal (São João Del Rei, Minas Gerais), in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs Botafogo SP?: The model pointed to a Athletic Club win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Athletic Club vs Botafogo SP?: Athletic Club had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 13 to 9, and corners were 2 to 5.
How did Athletic Club and Botafogo SP arrive for this match?: Athletic Club arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Botafogo SP arrived with 5 losses in the last 5 matches (0 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Athletic Club, 0 for Botafogo SP and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.