Sport Recife 2 x 1 Juventude: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 29

Sport Recife

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2 × 1

Juventude

Away

Saturday, September 19 · 04:30 PMEstádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Sport Recife win30.9%

Draw35.7%

Juventude win33.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals20.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Sport Recife beat Juventude 2 to 1 at home, Saturday, September 19, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Sport Recife had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 7 to 6, and corners were 2 to 3.

Sport Recife arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Juventude arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Juventude 0 x 1 Sport Recife.

Match statistics

53%Possession47%

3On target1

7Shots6

2Corners3

19Fouls14

1Offsides4

0Saves1

2Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Sport RecifeLWLLW

Sport Recife's last matches
09/15	CRB 2x1 Sport Recife
09/10	Sport Recife 2x0 Ponte Preta
09/05	Ceará 2x1 Sport Recife
08/28	Novorizontino 2x1 Sport Recife
08/24	Sport Recife 3x0 América Mineiro

JuventudeLWDDW

Juventude's last matches
09/13	Juventude 0x2 Athletic Club
09/08	Criciúma 0x2 Juventude
09/05	Juventude 2x2 Atlético GO
09/01	Londrina 0x0 Juventude
08/25	Juventude 2x1 CRB

Head-to-head

Last matches between Sport Recife and Juventude
05/23/2026	Juventude 0x1 Sport Recife

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 29

Frequently asked questions about Sport Recife vs Juventude

What was the score of Sport Recife vs Juventude?: Sport Recife 2 x 1 Juventude, Saturday, September 19, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Juventude?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Sport Recife vs Juventude?: Sport Recife had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 7 to 6, and corners were 2 to 3.
How did Sport Recife and Juventude arrive for this match?: Sport Recife arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Juventude arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Juventude 0 x 1 Sport Recife.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.