Ceará 2 x 1 Novorizontino: stats and analysis
Série B 2026, round 29
Ceará
Home
2 × 1
Novorizontino
Away
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
What the model calculated before the match
Result
Goals
Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.
Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.
Match summary
Ceará beat Novorizontino 2 to 1 at home, Friday, September 18, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.
Novorizontino had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 6 to 19, and corners were 2 to 9.
Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Novorizontino arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Ceará, 1 for Novorizontino and 0 draws.
Ceará vs Novorizontino stats
What the model predicted
Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work
Recent form before the match
CearáDLWLW
| 09/13 | Fortaleza 1x1 Ceará |
| 09/09 | Atlético GO 2x1 Ceará |
| 09/05 | Ceará 2x1 Sport Recife |
| 08/30 | Vila Nova 2x0 Ceará |
| 08/22 | Ceará 2x1 Londrina |
NovorizontinoDWWWW
| 09/13 | Novorizontino 1x1 Cuiabá |
| 09/09 | Botafogo SP 1x3 Novorizontino |
| 09/05 | Novorizontino 3x1 Avaí |
| 08/28 | Novorizontino 2x1 Sport Recife |
| 08/24 | Athletic Club 1x4 Novorizontino |
Head-to-head
| 05/23/2026 | Novorizontino 2x1 Ceará |
| 08/26/2024 | Ceará 1x0 Novorizontino |
See the full analysis of this and the next matches
Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.
Other matches in round 29
Frequently asked questions about Ceará vs Novorizontino
- What was the score of Ceará vs Novorizontino?
- Ceará 2 x 1 Novorizontino, Friday, September 18, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
- What did the model predict for Ceará vs Novorizontino?
- The model pointed to a Novorizontino win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
- What were the match statistics for Ceará vs Novorizontino?
- Novorizontino had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 6 to 19, and corners were 2 to 9.
- How did Ceará and Novorizontino arrive for this match?
- Ceará arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Novorizontino arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).
- Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
- In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Ceará, 1 for Novorizontino and 0 draws.
Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.