Sport Recife 3 x 3 Botafogo SP: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 17

Sport Recife

Sport Recife

Home

3 × 3

Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP

Away

Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Sport Recife win43.9%
Draw38.6%
Botafogo SP win17.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals34.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Sport Recife and Botafogo SP drew 3 to 3, Friday, July 10, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Sport Recife had more of the ball (71% possession), shots were 13 to 10, and corners were 7 to 2.

Sport Recife arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Botafogo SP arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP stats

Match statistics
71%Possession29%
5On target4
13Shots10
7Corners2
17Fouls22
1Offsides2
1Saves2
2Yellow cards4
1Red cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Sport Recife win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Sport RecifeLLDDD

Sport Recife's last matches
07/04Criciúma 1x0 Sport Recife
06/28Fortaleza 2x1 Sport Recife
06/18Sport Recife 1x1 Atlético GO
06/14São Bernardo 0x0 Sport Recife
06/10Sport Recife 1x1 Athletic Club

Botafogo SPWLWWL

Botafogo SP's last matches
07/06Botafogo SP 3x1 Avaí
06/30Botafogo SP 0x1 CRB
06/20Ceará 0x1 Botafogo SP
06/14Botafogo SP 2x1 Operário PR
06/08Vila Nova 1x0 Botafogo SP

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 17

Frequently asked questions about Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP

What was the score of Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?
Sport Recife 3 x 3 Botafogo SP, Friday, July 10, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?
The model pointed to a Sport Recife win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Sport Recife vs Botafogo SP?
Sport Recife had more of the ball (71% possession), shots were 13 to 10, and corners were 7 to 2.
How did Sport Recife and Botafogo SP arrive for this match?
Sport Recife arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Botafogo SP arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.