Avaí 2 x 0 Náutico: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 17

Avaí

Avaí

Home

2 × 0

Náutico

Náutico

Away

Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Avaí win34.4%
Draw27.8%
Náutico win37.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals55.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Avaí beat Náutico 2 to 0 at home, Sunday, July 12, at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (68% possession), shots were 10 to 13, and corners were 6 to 5.

Avaí arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

Avaí vs Náutico stats

Match statistics
32%Possession68%
3On target1
10Shots13
6Corners5
17Fouls12
7Offsides2
1Saves1
1Yellow cards1
1Red cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Náutico win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

AvaíLLWLL

Avaí's last matches
07/06Botafogo SP 3x1 Avaí
06/28Athletic Club 1x0 Avaí
06/21Avaí 1x0 Cuiabá
06/15Londrina 3x2 Avaí
06/10Ceará 2x1 Avaí

NáuticoDLLDL

Náutico's last matches
07/05Náutico 0x0 Juventude
06/28Náutico 0x1 Goiás
06/20Vila Nova 4x3 Náutico
06/14Novorizontino 2x2 Náutico
06/09Náutico 0x1 Fortaleza

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 17

Frequently asked questions about Avaí vs Náutico

What was the score of Avaí vs Náutico?
Avaí 2 x 0 Náutico, Sunday, July 12, at Estádio Aderbal Ramos da Silva, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Avaí vs Náutico?
The model pointed to a Náutico win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Avaí vs Náutico?
Náutico had more of the ball (68% possession), shots were 10 to 13, and corners were 6 to 5.
How did Avaí and Náutico arrive for this match?
Avaí arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.