Ponte Preta 1 x 2 Criciúma: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 17

Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta

Home

1 × 2

Criciúma

Criciúma

Away

Estádio Moisés Lucarelli

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ponte Preta win11.6%
Draw15.4%
Criciúma win73.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals37.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Criciúma beat Ponte Preta 2 to 1 away from home, Wednesday, July 8, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli and in the Série B 2026.

Criciúma had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 9 to 13, and corners were 1 to 6.

Ponte Preta arrived with 5 losses in the last 5 matches (0 of 15 points). Criciúma arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).

Ponte Preta vs Criciúma stats

Match statistics
41%Possession59%
4On target4
9Shots13
1Corners6
16Fouls11
5Offsides1
0Saves2
3Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Criciúma win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Ponte PretaLLLLL

Ponte Preta's last matches
07/02Fortaleza 2x0 Ponte Preta
06/28Atlético GO 2x0 Ponte Preta
06/22Ponte Preta 0x2 Novorizontino
06/14Juventude 3x0 Ponte Preta
06/09Ponte Preta 1x2 Cuiabá

CriciúmaWWWDW

Criciúma's last matches
07/04Criciúma 1x0 Sport Recife
06/27Criciúma 1x0 São Bernardo
06/23América Mineiro 0x1 Criciúma
06/15Criciúma 1x1 Ceará
06/06Criciúma 1x0 Londrina

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 17

Frequently asked questions about Ponte Preta vs Criciúma

What was the score of Ponte Preta vs Criciúma?
Ponte Preta 1 x 2 Criciúma, Wednesday, July 8, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Criciúma?
The model pointed to a Criciúma win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Ponte Preta vs Criciúma?
Criciúma had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 9 to 13, and corners were 1 to 6.
How did Ponte Preta and Criciúma arrive for this match?
Ponte Preta arrived with 5 losses in the last 5 matches (0 of 15 points). Criciúma arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.