Juventude 1 x 0 Vila Nova: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 17

Juventude

Juventude

Home

1 × 0

Vila Nova

Vila Nova

Away

Estádio Alfredo Jaconi

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Juventude win53.3%
Draw24.4%
Vila Nova win22.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals20.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Juventude beat Vila Nova 1 to 0 at home, Friday, July 10, at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi and in the Série B 2026.

Vila Nova had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 8 to 3, and corners were 5 to 2.

Juventude arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

Juventude vs Vila Nova stats

Match statistics
44%Possession56%
4On target0
8Shots3
5Corners2
24Fouls16
3Offsides1
0Saves3
4Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Juventude win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

JuventudeDWWWL

Juventude's last matches
07/05Náutico 0x0 Juventude
06/28Juventude 2x0 Ceará
06/21São Bernardo 0x1 Juventude
06/14Juventude 3x0 Ponte Preta
06/05Operário PR 2x1 Juventude

Vila NovaWLWLW

Vila Nova's last matches
07/06Vila Nova 2x1 São Bernardo
06/26Novorizontino 2x1 Vila Nova
06/20Vila Nova 4x3 Náutico
06/14Cuiabá 1x0 Vila Nova
06/08Vila Nova 1x0 Botafogo SP

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 17

Frequently asked questions about Juventude vs Vila Nova

What was the score of Juventude vs Vila Nova?
Juventude 1 x 0 Vila Nova, Friday, July 10, at Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Juventude vs Vila Nova?
The model pointed to a Juventude win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Juventude vs Vila Nova?
Vila Nova had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 8 to 3, and corners were 5 to 2.
How did Juventude and Vila Nova arrive for this match?
Juventude arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.