São Bernardo 2 x 2 Cuiabá: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 17

São Bernardo

Home

2 × 2

Cuiabá

Away

Sunday, July 12 · 04:00 PMEstádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Bernardo win44.5%

Draw29.3%

Cuiabá win26.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals18.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

São Bernardo and Cuiabá drew 2 to 2, Sunday, July 12, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco and in the Série B 2026.

São Bernardo had more of the ball (74% possession), shots were 7 to 7, and corners were 6 to 7.

São Bernardo arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Cuiabá arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

Match statistics

74%Possession26%

3On target3

7Shots7

6Corners7

9Fouls15

2Saves1

2Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São BernardoLLLDW

São Bernardo's last matches
07/06	Vila Nova 2x1 São Bernardo
06/27	Criciúma 1x0 São Bernardo
06/21	São Bernardo 0x1 Juventude
06/14	São Bernardo 0x0 Sport Recife
06/07	CRB 2x3 São Bernardo

CuiabáWDLWW

Cuiabá's last matches
07/02	Cuiabá 1x0 América Mineiro
06/25	Cuiabá 2x2 Londrina
06/21	Avaí 1x0 Cuiabá
06/14	Cuiabá 1x0 Vila Nova
06/09	Ponte Preta 1x2 Cuiabá

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Create free account I already have an account

Other matches in round 17

Frequently asked questions about São Bernardo vs Cuiabá

What was the score of São Bernardo vs Cuiabá?: São Bernardo 2 x 2 Cuiabá, Sunday, July 12, at Estádio Humberto de Alencar Castelo Branco, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for São Bernardo vs Cuiabá?: The model pointed to a São Bernardo win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for São Bernardo vs Cuiabá?: São Bernardo had more of the ball (74% possession), shots were 7 to 7, and corners were 6 to 7.
How did São Bernardo and Cuiabá arrive for this match?: São Bernardo arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Cuiabá arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.