Sport Recife 2 x 2 Avaí: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 4

Sport Recife

Home

2 × 2

Avaí

Away

Saturday, April 11 · 06:00 PMEstádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Sport Recife win14.8%

Draw20.8%

Avaí win64.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals99.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Sport Recife and Avaí drew 2 to 2, Saturday, April 11, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho and in the Série B 2026.

Sport Recife had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 16 to 11, and corners were 7 to 8.

Sport Recife arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Sport Recife 1 x 2 Avaí.

Match statistics

59%Possession41%

10On target4

16Shots11

7Corners8

8Fouls16

2Offsides0

2Saves8

2Yellow cards7

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Avaí win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Sport RecifeWDDLD

Sport Recife's last matches
04/04	Londrina 1x2 Sport Recife
04/01	Sport Recife 1x1 Vila Nova
03/21	Cuiabá 0x0 Sport Recife
03/17	Sport Recife 1x3 Athletic Club
03/12	Sport Recife 1x1 Anápolis

AvaíDWWDW

Avaí's last matches
04/05	Avaí 0x0 Operário PR
04/01	CRB 0x1 Avaí
03/22	Avaí 2x0 Juventude
03/10	Portuguesa 1x1 Avaí
03/04	Avaí 3x0 Porto Vitória

Head-to-head

Last matches between Sport Recife and Avaí
05/18/2024	Sport Recife 1x2 Avaí

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Create free account I already have an account

Other matches in round 4

Frequently asked questions about Sport Recife vs Avaí

What was the score of Sport Recife vs Avaí?: Sport Recife 2 x 2 Avaí, Saturday, April 11, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Avaí?: The model pointed to a Avaí win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Sport Recife vs Avaí?: Sport Recife had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 16 to 11, and corners were 7 to 8.
How did Sport Recife and Avaí arrive for this match?: Sport Recife arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Avaí arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Sport Recife 1 x 2 Avaí.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.