Ceará 1 x 0 Náutico: stats and analysis
Série B 2026, round 4

Ceará
Home
1 × 0

Náutico
Away
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
What the model calculated before the match
Result
Goals
Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.
Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.
Match summary
Ceará beat Náutico 1 to 0 at home, Saturday, April 11, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.
Náutico had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 8 to 12, and corners were 3 to 4.
Ceará arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).
Ceará vs Náutico stats
What the model predicted
Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Ceará win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work
Recent form before the match
CearáWDDDW
| 04/04 | Cuiabá 0x2 Ceará |
| 04/01 | Ponte Preta 1x1 Ceará |
| 03/21 | Ceará 1x1 São Bernardo |
| 03/17 | São Bernardo 0x0 Ceará |
| 03/12 | Maranhão 0x1 Ceará |
NáuticoWWLLL
| 04/04 | Náutico 1x0 Ponte Preta |
| 04/01 | Atlético GO 1x2 Náutico |
| 03/22 | Náutico 0x1 Criciúma |
| 05/20 | Náutico 1x2 São Paulo |
| 04/29 | São Paulo 2x1 Náutico |
See the full analysis of this and the next matches
Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.
Other matches in round 4
Frequently asked questions about Ceará vs Náutico
- What was the score of Ceará vs Náutico?
- Ceará 1 x 0 Náutico, Saturday, April 11, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
- What did the model predict for Ceará vs Náutico?
- The model pointed to a Ceará win as the most likely result, and got it right.
- What were the match statistics for Ceará vs Náutico?
- Náutico had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 8 to 12, and corners were 3 to 4.
- How did Ceará and Náutico arrive for this match?
- Ceará arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).
Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.