Ceará 1 x 0 Náutico: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 4

Ceará

Ceará

Home

1 × 0

Náutico

Náutico

Away

Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ceará win46.4%
Draw34.1%
Náutico win19.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals100.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Ceará beat Náutico 1 to 0 at home, Saturday, April 11, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo and in the Série B 2026.

Náutico had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 8 to 12, and corners were 3 to 4.

Ceará arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

Ceará vs Náutico stats

Match statistics
40%Possession60%
5On target3
8Shots12
3Corners4
12Fouls15
3Offsides2
3Saves4
4Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Ceará win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CearáWDDDW

Ceará's last matches
04/04Cuiabá 0x2 Ceará
04/01Ponte Preta 1x1 Ceará
03/21Ceará 1x1 São Bernardo
03/17São Bernardo 0x0 Ceará
03/12Maranhão 0x1 Ceará

NáuticoWWLLL

Náutico's last matches
04/04Náutico 1x0 Ponte Preta
04/01Atlético GO 1x2 Náutico
03/22Náutico 0x1 Criciúma
05/20Náutico 1x2 São Paulo
04/29São Paulo 2x1 Náutico

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 4

Frequently asked questions about Ceará vs Náutico

What was the score of Ceará vs Náutico?
Ceará 1 x 0 Náutico, Saturday, April 11, at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ceará vs Náutico?
The model pointed to a Ceará win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Ceará vs Náutico?
Náutico had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 8 to 12, and corners were 3 to 4.
How did Ceará and Náutico arrive for this match?
Ceará arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Náutico arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.