Ponte Preta 0 x 1 Vila Nova: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 4

Ponte Preta

Ponte Preta

Home

0 × 1

Vila Nova

Vila Nova

Away

Estádio Moisés Lucarelli

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Ponte Preta win19.4%
Draw39.9%
Vila Nova win40.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals100.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vila Nova beat Ponte Preta 1 to 0 away from home, Saturday, April 11, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli and in the Série B 2026.

Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 9 to 11, and corners were 9 to 4.

Ponte Preta arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Ponte Preta 2 x 0 Vila Nova.

Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova stats

Match statistics
50%Possession50%
5On target5
9Shots11
9Corners4
12Fouls15
9Offsides2
4Saves5
1Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Ponte PretaLDLLW

Ponte Preta's last matches
04/04Náutico 1x0 Ponte Preta
04/01Ponte Preta 1x1 Ceará
03/22Athletic Club 2x1 Ponte Preta
03/18Atlético GO 1x0 Ponte Preta
03/10Ponte Preta 1x0 Guarany de Bagé

Vila NovaWDDDD

Vila Nova's last matches
04/04Vila Nova 2x1 Atlético GO
04/01Sport Recife 1x1 Vila Nova
03/21Vila Nova 2x2 CRB
03/18Vila Nova 0x0 Confiança
03/12Vila Nova 1x1 Operário MS

Head-to-head

Last matches between Ponte Preta and Vila Nova
07/23/2024Ponte Preta 2x0 Vila Nova

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 4

Frequently asked questions about Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova

What was the score of Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova?
Ponte Preta 0 x 1 Vila Nova, Saturday, April 11, at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova?
The model pointed to a Vila Nova win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova?
Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 9 to 11, and corners were 9 to 4.
How did Ponte Preta and Vila Nova arrive for this match?
Ponte Preta arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Vila Nova arrived with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Ponte Preta 2 x 0 Vila Nova.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.