América Mineiro 0 x 3 Novorizontino: stats and analysis

Série B 2026, round 4

América Mineiro

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0 × 3

Novorizontino

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Sunday, April 12 · 06:00 PMCentro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães

What the model calculated before the match

Result

América Mineiro win39.1%

Draw40.7%

Novorizontino win20.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals100.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Novorizontino beat América Mineiro 3 to 0 away from home, Sunday, April 12, at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães and in the Série B 2026.

América Mineiro had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 4 to 13, and corners were 4 to 5.

América Mineiro arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Novorizontino arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

Match statistics

52%Possession48%

3On target8

4Shots13

4Corners5

15Fouls11

6Offsides4

5Saves4

1Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

América MineiroDLLDD

América Mineiro's last matches
04/05	Athletic Club 1x1 América Mineiro
04/01	América Mineiro 1x2 Botafogo SP
03/22	Goiás 3x1 América Mineiro
03/12	Barra FC 0x0 América Mineiro
03/04	América Mineiro 1x1 Tirol

NovorizontinoDDLDW

Novorizontino's last matches
04/05	Novorizontino 1x1 CRB
03/31	Juventude 0x0 Novorizontino
03/22	Novorizontino 1x3 Londrina
03/18	Jacuipense 0x0 Novorizontino
03/12	Mixto 0x3 Novorizontino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 4

Frequently asked questions about América Mineiro vs Novorizontino

What was the score of América Mineiro vs Novorizontino?: América Mineiro 0 x 3 Novorizontino, Sunday, April 12, at Centro de Treinamento Flávio Pentagna Guimarães, in the Série B 2026.
What did the model predict for América Mineiro vs Novorizontino?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for América Mineiro vs Novorizontino?: América Mineiro had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 4 to 13, and corners were 4 to 5.
How did América Mineiro and Novorizontino arrive for this match?: América Mineiro arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Novorizontino arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.