What was the score of São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?

São Paulo 1 x 0 Vasco da Gama, Saturday, October 17, at Estádio Nicolau Alayon, in the Série A 2026.

São Paulo 1 x 0 Vasco da Gama: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 31

São Paulo

Home

1 × 0

Vasco da Gama

Away

Saturday, October 17 · 09:00 PMEstádio Nicolau Alayon

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Paulo win42.6%

Draw34.8%

Vasco da Gama win22.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals24.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

São Paulo beat Vasco da Gama 1 to 0 at home, Saturday, October 17, at Estádio Nicolau Alayon and in the Série A 2026.

Vasco da Gama had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 9 to 9, and corners were 3 to 4.

São Paulo arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Vasco da Gama 2 x 1 São Paulo.

Match statistics

40%Possession60%

2On target2

9Shots9

3Corners4

14Fouls15

1Offsides2

2Saves1

2Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a São Paulo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São PauloWLLWL

São Paulo's last matches
10/10	São Paulo 2x1 Vitória
10/07	Cruzeiro 2x0 São Paulo
10/02	São Paulo 1x2 Santos
09/19	São Paulo 1x0 Internacional
09/12	Palmeiras 2x0 São Paulo

Vasco da GamaDWWWL

Vasco da Gama's last matches
10/10	Vasco da Gama 0x0 Remo
10/07	Botafogo 1x2 Vasco da Gama
09/19	Vasco da Gama 5x0 Coritiba
09/12	Grêmio 1x2 Vasco da Gama
09/05	Fluminense 1x0 Vasco da Gama

Head-to-head

Last matches between São Paulo and Vasco da Gama
04/18/2026	Vasco da Gama 2x1 São Paulo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 31

Frequently asked questions about São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama

What was the score of São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?: São Paulo 1 x 0 Vasco da Gama, Saturday, October 17, at Estádio Nicolau Alayon, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?: The model pointed to a São Paulo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?: Vasco da Gama had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 9 to 9, and corners were 3 to 4.
How did São Paulo and Vasco da Gama arrive for this match?: São Paulo arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Vasco da Gama 2 x 1 São Paulo.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.