What was the score of Grêmio vs Cruzeiro?

Grêmio 2 x 4 Cruzeiro, Sunday, October 18, at Arena do Grêmio, in the Série A 2026.

Grêmio 2 x 4 Cruzeiro: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 31

Grêmio

Home

2 × 4

Cruzeiro

Away

Sunday, October 18 · 04:00 PMArena do Grêmio

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Grêmio win29.8%

Draw36.7%

Cruzeiro win33.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals34.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Cruzeiro beat Grêmio 4 to 2 away from home, Sunday, October 18, at Arena do Grêmio and in the Série A 2026.

Cruzeiro had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 12 to 9, and corners were 8 to 8.

Grêmio arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Cruzeiro arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Grêmio, 2 for Cruzeiro and 0 draws.

Match statistics

41%Possession59%

6On target6

12Shots9

8Corners8

19Fouls16

0Offsides1

2Saves4

2Yellow cards3

1Red cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

GrêmioDDDLL

Grêmio's last matches
10/11	Grêmio 1x1 Internacional
10/07	Remo 1x1 Grêmio
09/20	Grêmio 0x0 Palmeiras
09/16	Botafogo 3x2 Grêmio
09/12	Grêmio 1x2 Vasco da Gama

CruzeiroLWWLW

Cruzeiro's last matches
10/12	Bragantino 4x2 Cruzeiro
10/07	Cruzeiro 2x0 São Paulo
09/20	Vitória 1x3 Cruzeiro
09/12	Santos 2x1 Cruzeiro
09/06	Cruzeiro 3x1 Athletico PR

Head-to-head

Last matches between Grêmio and Cruzeiro
04/18/2026	Cruzeiro 2x0 Grêmio
07/13/2025	Cruzeiro 4x1 Grêmio

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 31

Frequently asked questions about Grêmio vs Cruzeiro

What was the score of Grêmio vs Cruzeiro?: Grêmio 2 x 4 Cruzeiro, Sunday, October 18, at Arena do Grêmio, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Grêmio vs Cruzeiro?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Grêmio vs Cruzeiro?: Cruzeiro had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 12 to 9, and corners were 8 to 8.
How did Grêmio and Cruzeiro arrive for this match?: Grêmio arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Cruzeiro arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Grêmio, 2 for Cruzeiro and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.