Botafogo 1 x 0 Chapecoense: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 31

Botafogo

Botafogo

Home

1 × 0

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

Away

Estádio Nilton Santos

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo win58.2%
Draw28.6%
Chapecoense win13.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals50.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Botafogo beat Chapecoense 1 to 0 at home, Saturday, October 17, at Estádio Nilton Santos and in the Série A 2026.

Botafogo had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 16 to 6, and corners were 4 to 4.

Botafogo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Botafogo, 1 for Chapecoense and 0 draws.

Botafogo vs Chapecoense stats

Match statistics
51%Possession49%
11On target0
16Shots6
4Corners4
9Fouls12
2Offsides1
0Saves10
0Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Botafogo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

BotafogoDLLWD

Botafogo's last matches
10/12Coritiba 1x1 Botafogo
10/07Botafogo 1x2 Vasco da Gama
09/19Mirassol 2x0 Botafogo
09/16Botafogo 3x2 Grêmio
09/12Botafogo 1x1 Bragantino

ChapecoenseLLDLW

Chapecoense's last matches
10/12Chapecoense 1x4 Athletico PR
10/07Vitória 4x0 Chapecoense
09/19Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Chapecoense
09/12Chapecoense 1x2 Internacional
09/06Corinthians 1x2 Chapecoense

Head-to-head

Last matches between Botafogo and Chapecoense
05/14/2026Chapecoense 2x0 Botafogo
04/21/2026Botafogo 1x0 Chapecoense
04/18/2026Chapecoense 1x4 Botafogo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 31

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo vs Chapecoense

What was the score of Botafogo vs Chapecoense?
Botafogo 1 x 0 Chapecoense, Saturday, October 17, at Estádio Nilton Santos, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Chapecoense?
The model pointed to a Botafogo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo vs Chapecoense?
Botafogo had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 16 to 6, and corners were 4 to 4.
How did Botafogo and Chapecoense arrive for this match?
Botafogo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Botafogo, 1 for Chapecoense and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.