Atlético Mineiro 1 x 0 Coritiba: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 31

Atlético Mineiro

Atlético Mineiro

Home

1 × 0

Coritiba

Coritiba

Away

Arena MRV

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Atlético Mineiro win59.1%
Draw26.3%
Coritiba win14.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals38.4%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Atlético Mineiro beat Coritiba 1 to 0 at home, Saturday, October 17, at Arena MRV and in the Série A 2026.

Atlético Mineiro had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 15 to 10, and corners were 10 to 5.

Atlético Mineiro arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). Coritiba arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Coritiba 2 x 0 Atlético Mineiro.

Atlético Mineiro vs Coritiba stats

Match statistics
59%Possession41%
10On target3
15Shots10
10Corners5
16Fouls11
3Offsides1
3Saves9
0Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Atlético MineiroWDWDW

Atlético Mineiro's last matches
10/11Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Santos
10/08Athletico PR 2x2 Atlético Mineiro
10/03Atlético Mineiro 1x0 Bragantino
09/19Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Chapecoense
09/12Atlético Mineiro 3x1 Fluminense

CoritibaDLLDL

Coritiba's last matches
10/12Coritiba 1x1 Botafogo
10/08Fluminense 4x0 Coritiba
09/19Vasco da Gama 5x0 Coritiba
09/11Coritiba 3x3 Athletico PR
09/06Coritiba 1x2 Mirassol

Head-to-head

Last matches between Atlético Mineiro and Coritiba
04/19/2026Coritiba 2x0 Atlético Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 31

Frequently asked questions about Atlético Mineiro vs Coritiba

What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Coritiba?
Atlético Mineiro 1 x 0 Coritiba, Saturday, October 17, at Arena MRV, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Atlético Mineiro vs Coritiba?
The model pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Atlético Mineiro vs Coritiba?
Atlético Mineiro had more of the ball (59% possession), shots were 15 to 10, and corners were 10 to 5.
How did Atlético Mineiro and Coritiba arrive for this match?
Atlético Mineiro arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). Coritiba arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Coritiba 2 x 0 Atlético Mineiro.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.